Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 56.249571 64.141719 72.287413 81.289406 90.926279 100.902899 111.981418
2025-04-13 42.785781 53.747398 65.670816 79.463679 94.846542 111.354095 130.289029
2025-04-20 37.453191 50.412051 65.028231 82.448216 102.377776 124.227626 149.762098
2025-04-27 32.904115 47.214812 63.892618 84.289762 108.127708 134.721053 166.261296
2025-05-04 28.081499 43.062282 61.109124 83.742422 110.730408 141.323200 178.092569
2025-05-11 23.955409 39.290165 58.377196 82.892882 112.671303 146.916416 188.561611
2025-05-18 21.131526 36.876759 57.059695 83.525328 116.178895 154.180407 200.837908
2025-05-25 18.257481 34.082073 55.008847 83.037651 118.164017 159.523344 210.774937
2025-06-01 16.073788 32.012624 53.714962 83.345854 120.996305 165.779724 221.716016
2025-06-08 13.724890 29.442759 51.554033 82.375582 122.113771 169.880845 230.030574
2025-06-15 12.400968 28.277386 51.202948 83.677456 126.012622 177.303850 242.280727
2025-06-22 11.269291 27.289563 51.012020 85.125029 130.051167 184.872530 254.698460
2025-06-29 9.625768 25.299410 49.295578 84.476428 131.407281 189.187240 263.274185
2025-07-06 7.814200 22.771191 46.618241 82.381457 130.794340 190.999471 268.771453
2025-07-13 7.431352 22.768877 47.695157 85.466262 136.935330 201.226441 284.548446
2025-07-20 6.814321 22.247259 47.930811 87.341721 141.470926 209.443194 297.876734
2025-07-27 5.761698 20.720230 46.502112 86.783551 142.727818 213.499358 306.068427
2025-08-03 4.780471 19.165868 44.917578 85.915627 143.507107 216.906994 313.429168
2025-08-10 4.171237 18.311172 44.405948 86.561686 146.296210 222.856476 323.939037
2025-08-17 3.456468 17.068508 43.161185 86.063529 147.485928 226.730635 331.847565
2025-08-24 2.941642 16.201766 42.491807 86.378357 149.758902 231.981802 341.472849
2025-08-31 2.331222 14.919376 41.003598 85.387198 150.180897 234.807272 348.032267
2025-09-07 2.055284 14.511958 41.045049 86.717073 153.820830 241.814092 359.869701